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New Policies Steer Transformation: China's Used Car Exports March Toward High-Quality Development in 2026​

2025-12-11

新政领航 阵痛中转型:2026 年中国二手车出口迈向高质量发展​

New Policies Steer Transformation: China's Used Car Exports March Toward High-Quality Development in 2026​
2025 年末,商务部等四部门联合发布<关于进一步加强二手车出口管理工作的通知>,以 “180 天注册期 + 售后确认书” 的组合拳严控 “零公里二手车” 出口乱象,标志着中国二手车出口行业将在 2026 年迎来深度洗牌与品质升级.从野蛮生长到规范发展,这场转型虽伴随短期阵痛,但长远来看,将推动中国汽车出口从 “规模扩张” 向 “价值竞争” 跨越.​
At the end of 2025, four ministries including the Ministry of Commerce jointly issued the "Notice on Further Strengthening the Administration of Used Car Exports", introducing a combined policy of "180-day registration period + after-sales confirmation letter" to crack down on the irregularities of "zero-mile used cars" exports. This marks that China's used car export industry will undergo in-depth restructuring and quality upgrading in 2026. From reckless growth to regulated development, this transformation will bring short-term pains, but in the long run, it will promote China's automobile exports from "scale expansion" to "value competition".​
政策收紧引发行业大洗牌​
Policy Tightening Triggers Industry Shuffle​
所谓 “零公里二手车”,指注册登记后行驶里程极低,车况与新车无异的车辆,部分企业通过 “上牌即出口” 模式规避监管,套取退税并冲击海外市场.数据显示,2024 年中国新能源二手车出口中,超 90% 为 “零公里” 车型,2025 年这一规模预计达 45 万辆.新政明确,2026 年起,注册不满 180 天的出口车辆需提交车企出具的<售后维修服务确认书>,无法提供者将不予发放出口许可证.​
The so-called "zero-mile used cars" refer to vehicles with extremely low mileage and conditions identical to new cars after registration. Some enterprises evade supervision through the model of "export immediately after licensing", obtain tax rebates and disrupt overseas markets. Data shows that in 2024, over 90% of China's new energy used car exports were "zero-mile" models, and this scale is expected to reach 450,000 units in 2025. The new policy clarifies that starting from 2026, export vehicles registered for less than 180 days must submit the "After-sales Maintenance Service Confirmation Letter" issued by automobile manufacturers, and those unable to provide it will not be issued export licenses.​
“这将淘汰至少一半中小车商.” 中国汽车流通协会二手车出口分会会长黄若愚表示,全国 3000 余家二手车出口企业中,缺乏主机厂资源,依赖政策红利的小团队将难以生存.河北车商王斌透露,不少同行赶在 2025 年底前囤积车辆,试图搭上旧政策的 “末班车”,但长远来看,“回归真正的二手车贸易是必然趋势”.​
"This will eliminate at least half of the small and medium-sized dealers." Huang Ruoyu, President of the Used Car Export Branch of China Automobile Dealers Association, said that among more than 3,000 used car export enterprises nationwide, small teams lacking OEM resources and relying on policy dividends will struggle to survive. Wang Bin, a used car dealer in Hebei, revealed that many peers are hoarding vehicles before the end of 2025, trying to catch the "last bus" of the old policy, but in the long run, "returning to real used car trade is an inevitable trend".​
短期阵痛与长期机遇并存​
Short-Term Pains and Long-Term Opportunities Coexist​
行业普遍预计,2026 年上半年二手车出口量可能出现波动.中国汽车工业协会相关负责人指出,“零公里二手车” 占比过高,政策切换期销量下滑难以避免.但长期来看,海外市场需求依然旺盛:俄罗斯,中亚等地区汽车紧缺,非洲,南美对经济型二手车需求激增,而中国二手车在价格和产品力上仍具竞争力.​
The industry generally expects that used car exports may fluctuate in the first half of 2026. A relevant person in charge of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers pointed out that the proportion of "zero-mile used cars" is too high, and a sales decline during the policy transition period is inevitable. However, in the long run, overseas market demand remains strong: there is a shortage of cars in regions such as Russia and Central Asia, demand for economical used cars is surging in Africa and South America, and Chinese used cars still have competitiveness in terms of price and product strength.​
黄若愚预测,2026 年中国二手车出口量仍将实现增长,东南亚市场占比将超 50%.利好因素包括:超 4 亿辆的国内汽车保有量提供充足车源,国六车型换代释放优质二手车;新能源二手车契合全球电动化趋势,在阿根廷,阿联酋等市场享受关税优惠;“一带一路” 共建国家的物流网络持续完善,降低运输成本.​
Huang Ruoyu predicts that China's used car exports will still achieve growth in 2026, with Southeast Asia accounting for over 50% of the market. Positive factors include: sufficient car sources supported by the domestic automobile ownership of over 400 million units, high-quality used cars released by the replacement of National VI models; new energy used cars align with the global electrification trend, enjoying tariff preferences in markets such as Argentina and the United Arab Emirates; and the continuous improvement of logistics networks in Belt and Road partner countries, reducing transportation costs.​
从 “卖产品” 到 “建生态” 的转型​
Transformation from "Selling Products" to "Building Ecosystems"​
新政不仅是监管收紧,更是行业升级的信号.<通知>鼓励企业在海外建立展示交易中心,完善售后网络,推动 “一站式” 服务体系建设.业内人士指出,中国二手车出口正告别 “一锤子买卖”,转向 “卖服务,卖产业链” 的新模式.​
The new policy is not only a tightening of supervision, but also a signal of industry upgrading. The "Notice" encourages enterprises to establish exhibition and trading centers overseas, improve after-sales networks, and promote the construction of "one-stop" service systems. Insiders pointed out that China's used car exports are moving away from "one-time transactions" and shifting to a new model of "selling services and industrial chains".​
目前,头部企业已率先布局:在俄罗斯,肯尼亚建立海外仓和维修中心,将备件供应周期缩短至周级;针对不同市场精准适配车型,向中东出口豪华燃油车,向非洲主推经济型新能源车.“海外市场缺的不是车,是稳定的供应 + 售后 + 配件.” 河北车商刘华表示,只有建立长期服务价值,才能取代日本等传统二手车出口强国的地位.​
At present, leading enterprises have taken the lead in layout: establishing overseas warehouses and maintenance centers in Russia and Kenya, shortening the spare parts supply cycle to weekly; accurately adapting models to different markets, exporting luxury fuel vehicles to the Middle East and promoting economical new energy vehicles to Africa. "Overseas markets are not short of cars, but stable supply + after-sales service + spare parts." Liu Hua, a used car dealer in Hebei, said that only by establishing long-term service value can we replace Japan and other traditional powerhouses in used car exports.​
结语​
Conclusion​
2026 年,中国二手车出口将在规范中前行.新政淘汰落后产能的同时,也为合规企业开辟了更高质量的发展空间.从 “规模取胜” 到 “品质为王”,从 “产品输出” 到 “价值输出”,中国二手车出口正经历从量变到质变的跨越,为汽车产业全球化注入新动能.正如行业专家所言,短期阵痛是转型必经之路,长远来看,一个规范,透明,具有国际竞争力的二手车出口体系,终将让 “中国二手车” 成为全球市场的信赖品牌.​
In 2026, China's used car exports will move forward in standardization. While eliminating backward production capacity, the new policy also opens up higher-quality development space for compliant enterprises. From "winning by scale" to "quality first", from "product export" to "value export", China's used car exports are undergoing a leap from quantitative to qualitative change, injecting new momentum into the globalization of the automobile industry. As industry experts said, short-term pains are an inevitable path of transformation. In the long run, a standardized, transparent and internationally competitive used car export system will eventually make "Chinese used cars" a trusted brand in the global market.